OpenAI is on a path of certain failure

Guys,

I think Andrej's email below is worth reading carefully.

It's clear to me that OpenAI on its current path is on a path of certain failure relative to Google. Several signals support this. The recent departures, the inability to retain senior researchers, the compute deficit, the lack of clarity around the for-profit transition.

I have considered this carefully. Tesla is the only path that could even hope to hold a candle to Google. Even then, the probability of being a counterweight to Google is low. Not zero, but low.

What we have right now is a recipe for guaranteed failure.

Elon

i think we have a much better chance than you give us credit for, but i agree the current path is not enough.

let's talk thursday.

sam